12/18/25

Southeast Overview: Cross-Model Climate Projections

This cross-model regional overview is part of a series and focuses on the Southeast. The NCA5 defines this region, our primary source material, as including: Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Kentucky, West Virginia, and Virginia.

We focus on factors of interest to people who love living things: the water outlook and increases to nighttime lows.  Those factors help us understand where people will likely need to change what they grow, and help us find where the southeast is looking most stable- in eastern Kentucky, West Virginia, and parts of Virginia.  We also look at the twin major risks emerging in the southeast- deluge-type rain, and shifting hurricane tracks.

Resources: 

https://www.americanresiliency.org/ 

Sea level rise tool: https://coastal.climatecentral.org/

Background information: https://climate.copernicus.eu/climate...

Figures & atlas: https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/ 


AMOC figures: https://www.researchgate.net/publicat...

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Southern Great Plains Overview: Cross-Model Climate Projections