VIDEOS

This cross-model regional overview is part of a series and focuses on the Southeast. The NCA5 defines this region, our primary source material, as including: Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Kentucky, West Virginia, and Virginia.

Southern Great Plains, which includes Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. In this video, we focus on the big edges of the problem.  Major high-end heat increases, and a serious drought trend over much of the region.  This is a region of extremes, with tough people who handle adversity well.

This cross-model regional overview is part of a series and focuses on the Northeast: Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, and West Virginia.

Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah.

Here, we consider big picture projections for water stability and heat increases across the region, as well as what to expect with our best current understanding of tipping points.

Washington, Oregon, and Idaho.

Here we consider big picture projections around water cycle changes and their landscape implications, as well as what to expect with our best current understanding of tipping points

Midwest Overview: Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, Missouri, Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

We've got some serious challenges building in parts of South Carolina, and potential opportunities emerging in others.

A brief overview of damaging earthquake frequency across the US, as well as a map of both active and shut down nuclear sites.

Kentucky is looking at both challenges and potential opportunities in these projections, and the state's responsible care of water and diversified economy are added strengths worth considering.

September 24 Earth Systems Update

This outlook for Delaware is extremely difficult, with major implications for regional transportation.  

These projections for Rhode Island show great cool summer preservation, but we are looking at a significant landscape transformation due to the major loss of winter cold duration and intensity.  

Canada Update: This is different from our other videos, it's looser and more extrapolative. 

Shocker- Mississippi looks hot!

The projections are showing greater increases in heat duration than heat intensity.  And excellent potential for landscape stability in large parts of this state. There is some fascinating resilience potential in the ancient landscapes of this beautiful state.

Dr. Emily shares both the challenges and the opportunities facing all our friends in Missouri.

You won't be shocked that Vegas is projected to pick up a lot more days over 105 by 2C, but Dr. E was very interested in the relative stability she found in other parts of the state.  

For those watching solar field developments, it's worth noting there are major signs for deluge-type rain emerging over Tonopah.  

Dr. Emily shares what we know about where to expect extreme rain, even if that doesn't tell us how much.

Oklahoma: a challenging outlook for a state already accustomed to challenging conditions. 

International Outlook featuring Uganda.  If you’re interested in climate & food, this is an important one. Dr. Emily shares information on the country’s climate outlook based on projections from the World Bank. 

Kansas is looking at some challenging heat increases in these projections, but this may be an outlook within adaptation range. 

Arkansas. 105+ heat, seriously increased wildfire risks, and deluge signals. 

Nebraska outlook, plus the regional and economic stability that we can visualize more clearly now that we can see where and how Nebraska is in play.  

If you're interested in food systems and you haven't considered Omaha's role in our present and our 2C future, this is a state-level outlook worth studying.

This video is useful for putting a frame around your resilience prep. An aircraft hangar full of freeze-dried food will not help you comfort a crying child, make dried foods not taste gross, or properly put on a tourniquet. 

A look at November ‘24 Earth systems information, talk about modeling for near-term AMOC collapse impacts, do a 2C big picture overview for the US and Canada, and talk about how these colliding models are likely to interact.

Dr. Emily teaches how to ID disease-carrying mosquitoes that are moving into new habitats, as well as how to recognize diseases they carry. 

There are some parts of Europe with fairly good cross-model stability, but the overall picture for the EU and the UK is much more difficult than we see projected for North America.

For your viewing pleasure, a boring video about the most boring places in the US.  They look boring in so many ways, under so many scenarios.  

Learn with Ash, a major innovator in resilience-focused architecture, including the use of earth-based materials.  

This video focuses on the value of play for building resilience.  Most people who are climate aware navigate complex emotions, and sometimes the depth of our grief can make it difficult to experience happiness or pleasure. But we need to cultivate those capacities to make it through hard times. Play matters!

Featuring AR Volunteer JP. 

This is part 2 of Ash's teaching on building heat resilience.  Ash is a professional architect with an interest in climate resilience and the built environment.   

Learn from Ash, a working architect with a professional interest in climate resilience and the built environment. In Part 1, we focus on solutions to help keep you cool in the event of a utility failure, with ideas that work in both arid and humid climates. 

Dr. Emily shares information about our ground launch, with a focus on helping you build resilience in your community.

This video follows up on our coverage of hurricanes Milton and Helene.

Hurricanes Milton & Helene

Flash Drought & Flood: Helene

This video brings us back to a big picture, putting the pieces together around continent-level trends happening now.

Dr. Emily presents evidence for tipping point indicators in Brazil.  

Brazil has a fairly stable area in the cross-model projections- important info for people in Brazil.

The outlook for Brazil has important implications for global food systems.

We are seeing signs the global temperature spike in '25 may have been similar to what we saw in '24.

Dr. Emily shares the projections for the Caribbean and the US Pacific Islands, including Puerto Rico and Hawaii.

In this video, Jackie Ryan takes us under the hood of her visualization of the NCA5 datasets.

Dr. Emily teaches  you how to ID disease-carrying ticks that are moving into new habitats, as well as how to recognize diseases they carry.

This video shares the incredible worksheets and workshop that El, a disaster-preparedness professional, has designed and piloted with the AR community!  

Learn from Ash, a working architect with a professional interest in climate resilience and the built environment.  This teaching focuses on ways to make your home more resilient against hail and high-speed wind, with a review of where we expect these threats to worsen or emerge.

This is a complex video looking at the emerging threat of fire across the national landscape, as well as how we can find paths through the fire and look towards what comes next.

This is an important action step for people interested in trees that can survive these times of change.

Dr. Emily shares a slice of the talk she gave at ESF's Earth Week 2025, including detailed projection info, as well as ground notes from Rochester to Utica.

This video focuses on two resources recommended by a retired wildlands firefighter.

Dr. Emily interviews El, a professional in the disaster response and resilience space.  El shares information from within the field about trends in the disaster response space and advice on practical actions and prep for this summer.

Dr. Emily looks at both the big picture positive signs and the potentially concerning signs emerging in Earth systems today.

Dr. Emily talks about what it means to want to be alive through this tipping point.

Ground report from Dr. Emily’s trip to the Bozeman area.

Dr. Emily speaks with Janna from Earth Friends, an educator with a focus on social-emotional learning and sustainability.

Just a quick update regarding an upcoming resource we're going to want to access: the NOAA Atlas 15

This video shares a little information about a special place in a resilient region. 

In this video, we're looking at the national overview in both 2C and tipping point conditions- Alaska and Hawaii are included. 

Dr. Emily shares the three top seed recommendations for climate resilience across the US- tepary bean, black cumin, and hazelnut- as well as other cool info from the Seed Savers' Exchange conference

There is strong, peer-reviewed evidence that we are seeing phase-change behavior in deep ocean systems.

In this video we'll take a look at the expanded coverage for real time flood info.

Because we all need to eat.

This ocean stuff is changing fast along multiple factors.  Weird ocean behavior has been a leading indicator for change in other Earth Systems for years.  A hard one- draws some threads together.

This video is the quick & dirty version- I'll get you more info on Wisconsin ground conditions and excellent nerdy resources in a more detailed video to come!

Many people are aware that without the warmth from the Gulf Stream, the UK would be looking at intense cold. The question is, how cold are we talking? 

My local food bank is seeing overwhelming demand this November- is yours?  In this video, we start with direct actions to address food resilience in our ground communities. 

If you're a person who wants to live in a gigantic world-class city with good resilience potential, Chicago has been putting in the work since 2008. 

This video offers practical advice for talking with people close to you about climate resilience.

First pass at an at-a-glance type climate risk map with info on how to interpret this figure and present its many limitations in this short video.

This international outlook video focuses on 2C modeling for Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh.

Mexico!

Southern California's outlook is quite serious for LA, Bakersfield, Blythe, Imperial, and other inland communities.

There are layers of challenge here, including very severe heat increases, drought trend, and more intense, more irregular atmospheric rivers.  We also see a very intense hot spot for deluge-like precipitation appear over Bakersfield.  

In Northern California, we find potential for building long-term resilience.  This region begins south of the Bay Area at about Half Moon Bay, extends to the eastern edge of about Napa, and returns to hug the coast all the way up to Eureka.

Inland, Massachusetts has pretty solid climate preservation in the projections and great resilience potential.  But by and large, it's looking pretty rough along the coast, especially around greater Boston.  This video also identifies emerging serious flooding risks associated with the Merrimack River watershed.

There is a push to get everyone freaked out about climate and crop failure.  And we are seeing crop failure.  But why isn't it touching commodities prices?  

In this video, we'll walk through the projections for Vermont's climate at 2C across many other factors, and Dr. Emily will share some resources to let you learn more about location-specific flooding risks, as well as important work going on in Vermont to strengthen local food systems.

In this video we'll walk through the climate projections on a wide range of factors for New Hampshire, which do present both challenges and opportunities for this state.  

West Virginia looking strong.

This outlook contains details for Memphis, Chattanooga, Nashville, and Knoxville- but the sleeper hit is really the country in central Tennessee, outside of Murfreesboro.  You all are looking nice.